Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 52.584539 59.970892 67.622077 76.108421 85.227202 94.702320 105.263083
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 42.276057 52.835640 64.359610 77.741448 92.729380 108.884320 127.500228
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.702553 46.700461 60.340741 76.729962 95.635175 116.528482 141.138770
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.942102 41.767810 56.908400 75.655753 97.829627 122.845951 152.836990
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.984543 38.456596 54.907890 75.815566 101.069984 130.046608 165.279833
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.761037 35.665454 53.200910 76.026291 104.120489 136.835108 177.099840
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.266556 33.532071 52.073668 76.737609 107.603433 144.008709 189.283293
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.500116 30.717782 49.817734 75.815237 108.914681 148.466196 198.168124
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.901517 29.375968 49.361938 77.074149 112.838745 156.008874 210.692355
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.613106 28.346969 49.221447 78.659512 117.116389 163.952868 223.696008
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.723948 26.190584 47.358813 77.833257 118.227258 167.943956 231.879578
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.750232 23.657164 44.771379 75.869229 117.742970 169.862143 237.464171
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.286557 23.611052 45.807655 78.903343 123.839241 180.098231 253.394123
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.562659 23.034894 46.009200 80.755562 128.383747 188.410726 267.007311
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.244112 21.220130 44.209569 79.693850 128.988466 191.691489 274.358947
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.082162 19.521418 42.459936 78.597657 129.465941 194.753512 281.400669
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.300469 18.451834 41.624712 78.760773 131.602004 199.916056 291.063513
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.615104 17.472765 40.862843 78.976624 133.773767 205.106310 300.759370
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.086304 16.749497 40.471036 79.704936 136.629378 211.177768 311.578036
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.372437 15.458440 39.019177 78.760502 137.107824 214.111648 318.394634
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.039094 15.034728 39.041866 80.049503 140.707587 221.148273 330.460986
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.777401 14.750048 39.287847 81.672491 144.779356 228.819665 343.364777
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.263201 13.656565 37.991570 80.826662 145.304085 231.767527 350.193636